DDM Analysis: SECARE.ST

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$66.74 - $78.63	$73.68
Multi-Stage	$19.31 - $21.16	$20.22
Blended Fair Value	$46.95
Current Price	$33.95
Upside	38.30%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	33.71%	0.23	0.22	0.20	0.11	0.07	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01
YoY Growth	-	-	4.58%	10.37%	86.63%	53.19%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-24.96%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.60%	0.35%	0.78%	0.09%	0.08%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	63.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	40.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	23.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	12.60	7.88	4.73
Cash Retained (M)	23.00	23.00	23.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-12.60	-7.88	-4.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)	10.40	15.13	18.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	159.35	159.35	159.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.07	0.09	0.11
LTM Dividend per Share	0.25	0.25	0.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.07	0.09	0.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.32	0.35	0.37
WACC / Discount Rate	5.16%	5.16%	5.16%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$66.74	$73.68	$78.63
Upside / Downside	96.57%	117.04%	131.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	63.00	67.10	71.46	76.10	81.05	86.32	88.90
Payout Ratio	63.49%	68.79%	74.10%	79.40%	84.70%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	40.00	46.16	52.95	60.42	68.65	77.68	82.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.16%	5.16%	5.16%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	43.48	43.89	44.30
Year 2 PV (M)	46.98	47.88	48.78
Year 3 PV (M)	50.51	51.96	53.44
Year 4 PV (M)	54.06	56.13	58.27
Year 5 PV (M)	57.62	60.41	63.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,825.22	2,961.68	3,103.37
Equity Value (M)	3,077.88	3,221.95	3,371.46
Shares Outstanding (M)	159.35	159.35	159.35
Fair Value	$19.31	$20.22	$21.16
Upside / Downside	-43.11%	-40.44%	-37.68%

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Swedencare AB (publ) (SECARE.ST)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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