Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

M&C Saatchi plc (SAA.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Advertising AgenciesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.29 - $12.82$6.79
Multi-Stage$2.86 - $3.12$2.99
Blended Fair Value$4.89
Current Price$1.94
Upside152.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-27.63%-6.14%0.020.010.000.000.000.080.070.050.040.04
YoY Growth--6.22%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%17.13%24.16%23.64%17.07%27.03%
Dividend Yield--0.93%0.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%6.41%2.35%1.42%1.16%1.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)20.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.142.591.55
Cash Retained (M)14.5714.5714.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.14-2.59-1.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.4311.9813.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)123.44123.44123.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.130.150.16
WACC / Discount Rate8.80%8.80%8.80%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4.29$6.79$12.82
Upside / Downside121.09%250.20%560.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)20.7122.0523.4825.0126.6428.3729.22
Payout Ratio29.64%41.71%53.78%65.85%77.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.149.2012.6316.4720.7625.5327.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.80%8.80%8.80%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)8.378.458.53
Year 2 PV (M)10.4710.6710.87
Year 3 PV (M)12.4312.7913.15
Year 4 PV (M)14.2614.8115.38
Year 5 PV (M)15.9716.7517.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)291.52305.60320.22
Equity Value (M)353.03369.07385.70
Shares Outstanding (M)123.44123.44123.44
Fair Value$2.86$2.99$3.12
Upside / Downside47.43%54.12%61.07%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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