Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Palram Industries (1990) Ltd (PLRM.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$194.08 - $510.64$296.02
Multi-Stage$138.82 - $151.36$144.98
Blended Fair Value$220.50
Current Price$83.91
Upside162.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS35.10%29.10%3.501.552.722.330.780.780.390.470.390.35
YoY Growth--125.00%-42.86%16.67%200.00%0.00%100.00%-16.67%20.00%11.11%28.57%
Dividend Yield--4.04%3.07%12.42%5.14%2.44%5.47%2.15%2.39%1.37%1.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)214.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)130.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)84.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)42.8726.7916.08
Cash Retained (M)84.3384.3384.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-42.87-26.79-16.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)41.4757.5468.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.7425.7425.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.612.242.65
LTM Dividend per Share5.055.055.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.612.242.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.667.297.70
WACC / Discount Rate9.12%9.12%9.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$194.08$296.02$510.64
Upside / Downside131.29%252.78%508.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)214.33228.27243.10258.90275.73293.66302.47
Payout Ratio60.65%66.52%72.39%78.26%84.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)130.00151.85175.99202.62231.98264.29279.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.12%9.12%9.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)137.85139.15140.46
Year 2 PV (M)145.03147.79150.58
Year 3 PV (M)151.59155.94160.37
Year 4 PV (M)157.55163.61169.84
Year 5 PV (M)162.94170.81178.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,817.712,953.803,095.11
Equity Value (M)3,572.663,731.113,895.35
Shares Outstanding (M)25.7425.7425.74
Fair Value$138.82$144.98$151.36
Upside / Downside65.44%72.78%80.39%

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