Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Navios Maritime Partners L.P. (NMM)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$261.22 - $1,007.99$441.91
Multi-Stage$160.15 - $175.29$167.58
Blended Fair Value$304.75
Current Price$45.05
Upside576.47%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-14.31%-26.81%0.210.210.200.150.260.450.350.000.004.49
YoY Growth---0.45%2.00%33.55%-41.36%-41.91%29.36%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-4.81%
Dividend Yield--0.53%0.49%0.85%0.44%1.11%8.46%2.47%0.00%0.00%24.14%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)262.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)256.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)52.5532.8419.70
Cash Retained (M)256.63256.63256.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-52.55-32.84-19.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)204.09223.79236.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)29.4829.4829.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.927.598.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.927.598.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.137.808.24
WACC / Discount Rate8.38%8.38%8.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$261.22$441.91$1,007.99
Upside / Downside479.85%880.94%2,137.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)262.73279.81297.99317.36337.99359.96370.76
Payout Ratio2.32%19.86%37.39%54.93%72.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.1055.56111.43174.32244.92323.97342.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.38%8.38%8.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)50.7851.2651.75
Year 2 PV (M)93.0994.8696.65
Year 3 PV (M)133.11136.94140.83
Year 4 PV (M)170.95177.52184.28
Year 5 PV (M)206.67216.66227.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,067.414,263.864,467.84
Equity Value (M)4,722.014,941.105,168.37
Shares Outstanding (M)29.4829.4829.48
Fair Value$160.15$167.58$175.29
Upside / Downside255.50%271.99%289.10%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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