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Definitive Analysis

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Menif - Financial Services Ltd (MNIF.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.68 - $43.39$34.90
Multi-Stage$66.54 - $73.33$69.87
Blended Fair Value$52.38
Current Price$20.65
Upside153.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%0.560.460.770.400.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--21.43%-40.68%94.24%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.28%3.80%9.80%3.88%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)174.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)121.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34.8221.7613.06
Cash Retained (M)121.61121.61121.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-34.82-21.76-13.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)86.7999.85108.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)60.9960.9960.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.421.641.78
LTM Dividend per Share0.860.860.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.421.641.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.282.502.64
WACC / Discount Rate6.09%6.09%6.09%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$27.68$34.90$43.39
Upside / Downside34.03%68.99%110.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)174.11172.37170.65168.94167.25165.58170.55
Payout Ratio30.15%42.12%54.09%66.06%78.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52.5072.6192.31111.61130.51149.02157.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.09%6.09%6.09%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)67.7568.4469.13
Year 2 PV (M)80.3782.0283.68
Year 3 PV (M)90.6793.4896.34
Year 4 PV (M)98.94103.04107.26
Year 5 PV (M)105.41110.90116.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,615.163,803.413,999.42
Equity Value (M)4,058.304,261.294,472.46
Shares Outstanding (M)60.9960.9960.99
Fair Value$66.54$69.87$73.33
Upside / Downside222.24%238.36%255.13%

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