DDM Analysis: MBAP.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.01 - $0.02	$0.02
Multi-Stage	$0.03 - $0.03	$0.03
Blended Fair Value	$0.02
Current Price	$0.10
Upside	-77.79%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-18.61%	0.00%	0.00	0.08	0.11	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.01
YoY Growth	-	-	-95.00%	-22.71%	232.27%	12.16%	147.97%	-71.18%	74.42%	198.54%	28.78%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.32%	38.84%	25.25%	10.59%	15.13%	12.06%	19.77%	9.79%	5.32%	4.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)	0.65

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	0.68	0.43	0.26
Cash Retained (M)	0.65	0.65	0.65
(-) Cash Required (M)	-0.68	-0.43	-0.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-0.04	0.22	0.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,227.27	1,227.27	1,227.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
LTM Dividend per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.00	0.00	0.00
WACC / Discount Rate	9.84%	9.84%	9.84%
Growth Rate	-5.53%	-4.53%	-3.53%
Fair Value	$0.01	$0.02	$0.02
Upside / Downside	-86.00%	-83.45%	-81.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3.42	3.26	3.12	2.97	2.84	2.71	2.79
Payout Ratio	81.05%	82.84%	84.63%	86.42%	88.21%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2.77	2.70	2.64	2.57	2.50	2.44	2.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.84%	9.84%	9.84%
Growth Rate	-5.53%	-4.53%	-3.53%
Year 1 PV (M)	2.44	2.46	2.49
Year 2 PV (M)	2.14	2.19	2.23
Year 3 PV (M)	1.88	1.94	2.00
Year 4 PV (M)	1.65	1.72	1.79
Year 5 PV (M)	1.45	1.53	1.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)	22.40	23.61	24.87
Equity Value (M)	31.95	33.44	35.00
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,227.27	1,227.27	1,227.27
Fair Value	$0.03	$0.03	$0.03
Upside / Downside	-73.38%	-72.14%	-70.84%

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PT Mitrabara Adiperdana Tbk (MBAP.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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