Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PJSC TNS energo Kuban (KBSB.ME)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,241.72 - $3,767.08$1,975.21
Multi-Stage$1,375.60 - $1,508.93$1,441.01
Blended Fair Value$1,708.11
Current Price$539.00
Upside216.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.65%0.00%14.8617.990.000.053.9813.694.260.000.000.00
YoY Growth---17.42%8,035,825.00%-99.53%-98.81%-70.94%221.44%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.60%3.75%0.00%0.03%3.10%10.37%3.23%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)880.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)321.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)559.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)176.13110.0866.05
Cash Retained (M)559.21559.21559.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-176.13-110.08-66.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)383.08449.12493.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.8717.8717.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share21.4425.1327.60
LTM Dividend per Share17.9917.9917.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share21.4425.1327.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend39.4343.1245.59
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate3.01%4.01%5.01%
Fair Value$1,241.72$1,975.21$3,767.08
Upside / Downside130.38%266.46%598.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)880.64915.98952.74990.971,030.741,072.101,104.26
Payout Ratio36.50%47.20%57.90%68.60%79.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)321.44432.35551.64679.81817.37964.891,021.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate3.01%4.01%5.01%
Year 1 PV (M)402.87406.78410.70
Year 2 PV (M)478.99488.34497.77
Year 3 PV (M)550.05566.22582.71
Year 4 PV (M)616.27640.55665.54
Year 5 PV (M)677.90711.45746.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,854.6322,936.2024,060.17
Equity Value (M)24,580.7225,749.5526,963.21
Shares Outstanding (M)17.8717.8717.87
Fair Value$1,375.60$1,441.01$1,508.93
Upside / Downside155.21%167.35%179.95%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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