DDM Analysis: ILCO.TA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$163.80 - $241.48	$201.06
Multi-Stage	$245.93 - $269.96	$257.71
Blended Fair Value	$229.39
Current Price	$312.11
Upside	-26.50%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	4.93	0.00	10.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	16.00	0.00	0.00	40.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.85%	0.00%	3.18%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	7.02%	0.00%	0.00%	26.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	155.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	37.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	118.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	31.00	19.38	11.63
Cash Retained (M)	118.00	118.00	118.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-31.00	-19.38	-11.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)	87.00	98.63	106.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	7.50	7.50	7.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share	11.60	13.15	14.18
LTM Dividend per Share	4.93	4.93	4.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share	11.60	13.15	14.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend	16.53	18.08	19.12
WACC / Discount Rate	9.14%	9.14%	9.14%
Growth Rate	-0.87%	0.13%	1.13%
Fair Value	$163.80	$201.06	$241.48
Upside / Downside	-47.52%	-35.58%	-22.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	155.00	155.21	155.42	155.63	155.84	156.05	160.73
Payout Ratio	23.87%	37.10%	50.32%	63.55%	76.77%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	37.00	57.58	78.21	98.90	119.64	140.44	148.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.14%	9.14%	9.14%
Growth Rate	-0.87%	0.13%	1.13%
Year 1 PV (M)	52.23	52.76	53.28
Year 2 PV (M)	64.35	65.66	66.98
Year 3 PV (M)	73.82	76.07	78.37
Year 4 PV (M)	81.00	84.32	87.74
Year 5 PV (M)	86.25	90.69	95.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,486.90	1,563.42	1,643.06
Equity Value (M)	1,844.55	1,932.92	2,024.75
Shares Outstanding (M)	7.50	7.50	7.50
Fair Value	$245.93	$257.71	$269.96
Upside / Downside	-21.20%	-17.43%	-13.51%

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Israel Corporation Ltd (ILCO.TA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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