Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Athens Medical C.S.A. (IATR.AT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.39 - $0.64$0.50
Multi-Stage$0.63 - $0.69$0.66
Blended Fair Value$0.58
Current Price$1.80
Upside-67.87%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS113.45%39.94%0.020.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--2,732.79%0.00%-100.00%-42.55%261.54%-51.85%47.27%57.14%-39.66%-3.33%
Dividend Yield--1.32%0.04%0.00%0.06%0.11%0.02%0.09%0.04%0.07%0.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.590.370.22
Cash Retained (M)1.221.221.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.59-0.37-0.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.630.851.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)86.7486.7486.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.030.030.03
WACC / Discount Rate7.44%7.44%7.44%
Growth Rate0.41%1.41%2.41%
Fair Value$0.39$0.50$0.64
Upside / Downside-78.42%-72.21%-64.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2.952.993.033.083.123.163.26
Payout Ratio58.56%64.85%71.13%77.42%83.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.731.942.162.382.612.853.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.44%7.44%7.44%
Growth Rate0.41%1.41%2.41%
Year 1 PV (M)1.791.811.82
Year 2 PV (M)1.831.871.91
Year 3 PV (M)1.861.921.98
Year 4 PV (M)1.881.962.04
Year 5 PV (M)1.891.992.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)45.1147.4049.79
Equity Value (M)54.3856.9559.63
Shares Outstanding (M)86.7486.7486.74
Fair Value$0.63$0.66$0.69
Upside / Downside-65.17%-63.52%-61.81%

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