Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Gubra A/S (GUBRA.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$677.70 - $960.31$817.19
Multi-Stage$981.53 - $1,079.74$1,029.68
Blended Fair Value$923.43
Current Price$465.20
Upside98.50%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.044.154.010.400.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---99.11%3.50%895.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.01%3.35%3.65%0.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,699.97
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,699.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)339.99212.50127.50
Cash Retained (M)1,699.351,699.351,699.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-339.99-212.50-127.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,359.361,486.851,571.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.4616.4616.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share82.6090.3595.51
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share82.6090.3595.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend82.6490.3895.55
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$677.70$817.19$960.31
Upside / Downside45.68%75.66%106.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,699.971,682.971,666.141,649.481,632.991,616.661,665.16
Payout Ratio0.04%18.03%36.02%54.01%72.01%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.62303.43600.18890.961,175.871,454.991,540.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)273.18275.97278.76
Year 2 PV (M)486.49496.47506.55
Year 3 PV (M)650.20670.31690.83
Year 4 PV (M)772.58804.60837.61
Year 5 PV (M)860.68905.50952.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,110.0813,792.7514,503.57
Equity Value (M)16,153.2116,945.5917,769.47
Shares Outstanding (M)16.4616.4616.46
Fair Value$981.53$1,029.68$1,079.74
Upside / Downside110.99%121.34%132.10%

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