DDM Analysis: GFI.JO

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$102.60 - $559.08	$199.60
Multi-Stage	$58.87 - $64.36	$61.56
Blended Fair Value	$130.58
Current Price	$23.28
Upside	460.91%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	50.46%	27.97%	0.39	0.41	0.34	0.36	0.15	0.05	0.05	0.07	0.04	0.02
YoY Growth	-	-	-4.80%	21.09%	-5.55%	134.06%	202.64%	0.00%	-27.55%	60.20%	159.60%	-49.33%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.01%	2.82%	3.29%	3.30%	1.65%	0.75%	1.49%	1.62%	1.39%	0.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,517.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	897.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,620.20

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	503.44	314.65	188.79
Cash Retained (M)	1,620.20	1,620.20	1,620.20
(-) Cash Required (M)	-503.44	-314.65	-188.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,116.76	1,305.55	1,431.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	895.41	895.41	895.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.25	1.46	1.60
LTM Dividend per Share	1.00	1.00	1.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.25	1.46	1.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.25	2.46	2.60
WACC / Discount Rate	7.81%	7.81%	7.81%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$102.60	$199.60	$559.08
Upside / Downside	340.73%	757.38%	2,301.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,517.20	2,680.82	2,855.07	3,040.65	3,238.29	3,448.78	3,552.25
Payout Ratio	35.63%	46.51%	57.38%	68.25%	79.13%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	897.00	1,246.79	1,638.27	2,075.36	2,562.36	3,103.90	3,285.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.81%	7.81%	7.81%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,145.59	1,156.44	1,167.30
Year 2 PV (M)	1,383.09	1,409.44	1,436.03
Year 3 PV (M)	1,609.89	1,656.10	1,703.19
Year 4 PV (M)	1,826.32	1,896.55	1,968.79
Year 5 PV (M)	2,032.72	2,130.90	2,232.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)	44,714.04	46,873.74	49,116.10
Equity Value (M)	52,711.64	55,123.17	57,624.26
Shares Outstanding (M)	895.41	895.41	895.41
Fair Value	$58.87	$61.56	$64.36
Upside / Downside	152.87%	164.44%	176.44%

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Gold Fields Limited (GFI.JO)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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