DDM Analysis: GCHE.ME

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$9,321.75 - $17,822.71	$12,736.31
Multi-Stage	$6,892.57 - $7,534.09	$7,207.51
Blended Fair Value	$9,971.91
Current Price	$3,455.00
Upside	188.62%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	4.98%	0.00%	118.42	148.05	213.16	106.65	146.27	92.89	81.80	23.66	80.36	35.85
YoY Growth	-	-	-20.01%	-30.54%	99.87%	-27.09%	57.47%	13.55%	245.82%	-70.56%	124.13%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.78%	3.61%	7.87%	3.25%	5.94%	4.92%	4.20%	1.81%	9.48%	3.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	24,301.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)	24,301.55

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	4,860.31	3,037.70	1,822.62
Cash Retained (M)	24,301.55	24,301.55	24,301.55
(-) Cash Required (M)	-4,860.31	-3,037.70	-1,822.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)	19,441.23	21,263.85	22,478.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	42.22	42.22	42.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share	460.45	503.62	532.40
LTM Dividend per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	460.45	503.62	532.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend	460.45	503.62	532.40
WACC / Discount Rate	10.71%	10.71%	10.71%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$9,321.75	$12,736.31	$17,822.71
Upside / Downside	169.80%	268.63%	415.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	24,301.57	25,881.17	27,563.45	29,355.07	31,263.15	33,295.26	34,294.11
Payout Ratio	0.00%	18.00%	36.00%	54.00%	72.00%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.02	4,658.63	9,922.86	15,851.75	22,509.47	29,965.73	31,722.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.71%	10.71%	10.71%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	4,168.40	4,207.91	4,247.42
Year 2 PV (M)	7,944.36	8,095.68	8,248.43
Year 3 PV (M)	11,355.62	11,681.60	12,013.75
Year 4 PV (M)	14,428.13	14,983.00	15,553.71
Year 5 PV (M)	17,186.23	18,016.34	18,878.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)	235,935.60	247,331.37	259,163.29
Equity Value (M)	291,018.34	304,315.89	318,104.82
Shares Outstanding (M)	42.22	42.22	42.22
Fair Value	$6,892.57	$7,207.51	$7,534.09
Upside / Downside	99.50%	108.61%	118.06%

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PJSC Cherkizovo Group (GCHE.ME)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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