Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Galderma Group N (GALD.SW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.58 - $15.03$12.77
Multi-Stage$15.78 - $17.35$16.55
Blended Fair Value$14.66
Current Price$144.95
Upside-89.89%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)377.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)35.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)341.72
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)75.4147.1328.28
Cash Retained (M)341.72341.72341.72
(-) Cash Required (M)-75.41-47.13-28.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)266.31294.59313.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)237.75237.75237.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.121.241.32
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.121.241.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.271.391.47
WACC / Discount Rate9.76%9.76%9.76%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$10.58$12.77$15.03
Upside / Downside-92.70%-91.19%-89.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)377.07373.30369.57365.87362.21358.59369.35
Payout Ratio9.37%25.50%41.62%57.75%73.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)35.3595.19153.83211.29267.58322.73341.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.76%9.76%9.76%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)85.8586.7387.60
Year 2 PV (M)125.13127.69130.29
Year 3 PV (M)155.00159.80164.69
Year 4 PV (M)177.04184.38191.94
Year 5 PV (M)192.58202.61213.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,016.743,173.823,337.39
Equity Value (M)3,752.343,935.034,124.96
Shares Outstanding (M)237.75237.75237.75
Fair Value$15.78$16.55$17.35
Upside / Downside-89.11%-88.58%-88.03%

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