Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Flügger group A/S (FLUG-B.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$245.48 - $423.70$322.20
Multi-Stage$447.24 - $491.40$468.90
Blended Fair Value$395.55
Current Price$316.00
Upside25.17%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-5.29%-5.17%7.345.009.9814.729.649.6314.4414.4114.3914.39
YoY Growth--46.84%-49.94%-32.19%52.68%0.15%-33.32%0.21%0.10%0.00%15.38%
Dividend Yield--2.32%1.47%2.94%2.97%1.29%2.60%4.78%3.79%3.83%3.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)58.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)27.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)31.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.607.254.35
Cash Retained (M)31.0031.0031.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.60-7.25-4.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.4023.7526.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.003.003.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.477.928.89
LTM Dividend per Share9.009.009.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.477.928.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend15.4716.9317.89
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate0.17%1.17%2.17%
Fair Value$245.48$322.20$423.70
Upside / Downside-22.32%1.96%34.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)58.0058.6859.3760.0660.7761.4863.32
Payout Ratio46.55%55.24%63.93%72.62%81.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)27.0032.4237.9543.6249.4155.3358.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate0.17%1.17%2.17%
Year 1 PV (M)30.1430.4430.74
Year 2 PV (M)32.8133.4734.14
Year 3 PV (M)35.0636.1237.20
Year 4 PV (M)36.9338.4339.97
Year 5 PV (M)38.4540.4142.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,167.651,227.111,288.96
Equity Value (M)1,341.051,405.981,473.46
Shares Outstanding (M)3.003.003.00
Fair Value$447.24$468.90$491.40
Upside / Downside41.53%48.39%55.51%

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