Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística S.A. (ECOR3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Infrastructure OperationsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$122.07 - $263.81$247.23
Multi-Stage$38.89 - $42.62$40.72
Blended Fair Value$143.97
Current Price$7.83
Upside1,738.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-16.27%0.190.080.010.000.000.000.580.340.210.36
YoY Growth--131.82%1,005.76%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%70.98%60.38%-41.81%-68.46%
Dividend Yield--3.59%1.06%0.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%6.22%3.91%2.36%6.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)922.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)922.74
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)184.55115.3469.21
Cash Retained (M)922.74922.74922.74
(-) Cash Required (M)-184.55-115.34-69.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)738.19807.40853.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)695.62695.62695.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.061.161.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.061.161.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.061.161.23
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$122.07$247.23$263.81
Upside / Downside1,458.95%3,057.43%3,269.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)922.74982.721,046.601,114.631,187.081,264.241,302.17
Payout Ratio0.00%18.00%36.00%54.00%72.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.00176.89376.78601.90854.701,137.821,204.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)164.66166.22167.78
Year 2 PV (M)326.49332.71338.98
Year 3 PV (M)485.51499.45513.65
Year 4 PV (M)641.77666.45691.83
Year 5 PV (M)795.29833.71873.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,637.4225,827.4127,062.95
Equity Value (M)27,051.1428,325.9429,648.79
Shares Outstanding (M)695.62695.62695.62
Fair Value$38.89$40.72$42.62
Upside / Downside396.65%420.06%444.34%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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