Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Doric Nimrod Air Three Limited (DNA3.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.90 - $6.01$4.88
Multi-Stage$8.74 - $9.62$9.17
Blended Fair Value$7.02
Current Price$0.63
Upside1,015.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.080.080.080.080.080.080.080.080.080.08
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--13.10%15.87%16.34%19.64%20.63%23.57%9.65%8.17%8.01%8.25%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)93.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)45.38
(=) Cash Retained (M)47.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.6711.677.00
Cash Retained (M)47.9647.9647.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.67-11.67-7.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)29.2936.2940.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)220.00220.00220.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.160.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.160.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.90$4.88$6.01
Upside / Downside518.84%674.55%853.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)93.3392.4091.4890.5689.6688.7691.42
Payout Ratio48.62%56.89%65.17%73.45%81.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)45.3852.5759.6266.5173.2779.8884.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)48.8549.3549.84
Year 2 PV (M)51.4752.5353.60
Year 3 PV (M)53.3755.0256.70
Year 4 PV (M)54.6256.8959.22
Year 5 PV (M)55.3458.2261.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,658.931,745.311,835.26
Equity Value (M)1,922.582,017.312,115.84
Shares Outstanding (M)220.00220.00220.00
Fair Value$8.74$9.17$9.62
Upside / Downside1,287.14%1,355.49%1,426.58%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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