Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Capital Appreciation Limited (CTA.JO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.95 - $2.77$2.35
Multi-Stage$3.04 - $3.34$3.19
Blended Fair Value$2.77
Current Price$1.35
Upside105.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.080.080.060.050.040.050.020.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%5.92%19.88%27.09%11.75%-9.05%109.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%6.81%4.84%3.45%5.02%7.49%6.59%2.95%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)377.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)150.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)226.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)75.5647.2328.34
Cash Retained (M)226.90226.90226.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-75.56-47.23-28.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)151.34179.67198.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,287.111,287.111,287.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.140.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.140.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.260.27
WACC / Discount Rate9.80%9.80%9.80%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.95$2.35$2.77
Upside / Downside44.41%74.33%105.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)377.82374.04370.30366.60362.93359.30370.08
Payout Ratio39.94%49.96%59.97%69.98%79.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)150.92186.85222.06256.54290.30323.37342.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.80%9.80%9.80%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)168.45170.17171.89
Year 2 PV (M)180.47184.17187.91
Year 3 PV (M)187.96193.77199.70
Year 4 PV (M)191.75199.70207.89
Year 5 PV (M)192.55202.58213.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,995.613,151.603,314.02
Equity Value (M)3,916.794,101.984,294.42
Shares Outstanding (M)1,287.111,287.111,287.11
Fair Value$3.04$3.19$3.34
Upside / Downside125.41%136.07%147.15%

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