DDM Analysis: COCKERILL.BO

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$139.99 - $207.69	$172.32
Multi-Stage	$187.63 - $205.66	$196.48
Blended Fair Value	$184.40
Current Price	$5,927.35
Upside	-96.89%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-10.37%	53.77%	6.96	4.97	1.99	0.00	5.00	12.03	2.87	0.05	0.03	0.03
YoY Growth	-	-	39.98%	149.81%	0.00%	-100.00%	-58.45%	319.27%	5,592.37%	90.08%	-22.49%	-63.66%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.20%	0.08%	0.07%	0.00%	0.54%	2.50%	0.26%	0.01%	0.01%	0.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	84.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	19.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)	64.53

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	16.84	10.52	6.31
Cash Retained (M)	64.53	64.53	64.53
(-) Cash Required (M)	-16.84	-10.52	-6.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)	47.69	54.01	58.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4.94	4.94	4.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share	9.66	10.93	11.79
LTM Dividend per Share	3.98	3.98	3.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share	9.66	10.93	11.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend	13.63	14.91	15.76
WACC / Discount Rate	9.89%	9.89%	9.89%
Growth Rate	0.14%	1.14%	2.14%
Fair Value	$139.99	$172.32	$207.69
Upside / Downside	-97.64%	-97.09%	-96.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	84.18	85.14	86.11	87.09	88.08	89.09	91.76
Payout Ratio	23.35%	36.68%	50.01%	63.34%	76.67%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	19.65	31.23	43.06	55.16	67.53	80.18	84.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.89%	9.89%	9.89%
Growth Rate	0.14%	1.14%	2.14%
Year 1 PV (M)	28.13	28.42	28.70
Year 2 PV (M)	34.96	35.66	36.37
Year 3 PV (M)	40.35	41.57	42.81
Year 4 PV (M)	44.50	46.31	48.17
Year 5 PV (M)	47.60	50.03	52.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)	731.27	768.52	807.27
Equity Value (M)	926.82	970.50	1,015.87
Shares Outstanding (M)	4.94	4.94	4.94
Fair Value	$187.63	$196.48	$205.66
Upside / Downside	-96.83%	-96.69%	-96.53%

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John Cockerill India Ltd. (COCKERILL.BO)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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