DDM Analysis: CMDR.TA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$85.35 - $237.35	$132.38
Multi-Stage	$60.16 - $65.60	$62.83
Blended Fair Value	$97.61
Current Price	$86.80
Upside	12.45%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	21.43%	17.99%	1.95	1.62	1.44	1.16	0.58	0.74	0.61	0.60	0.61	0.56
YoY Growth	-	-	20.44%	12.24%	24.42%	100.44%	-21.69%	20.83%	1.05%	-1.14%	8.38%	51.48%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.84%	2.87%	3.94%	2.08%	1.33%	3.15%	4.10%	4.38%	4.71%	4.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	251.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	157.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)	94.81

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	50.38	31.49	18.89
Cash Retained (M)	94.81	94.81	94.81
(-) Cash Required (M)	-50.38	-31.49	-18.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)	44.43	63.32	75.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	71.79	71.79	71.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.62	0.88	1.06
LTM Dividend per Share	2.19	2.19	2.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.62	0.88	1.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.81	3.07	3.25
WACC / Discount Rate	8.97%	8.97%	8.97%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$85.35	$132.38	$237.35
Upside / Downside	-1.67%	52.52%	173.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	251.92	268.30	285.74	304.31	324.09	345.15	355.51
Payout Ratio	62.36%	67.89%	73.42%	78.95%	84.47%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	157.11	182.15	209.78	240.24	273.77	310.64	328.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.97%	8.97%	8.97%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	165.59	167.16	168.73
Year 2 PV (M)	173.37	176.67	180.00
Year 3 PV (M)	180.48	185.66	190.94
Year 4 PV (M)	186.97	194.16	201.55
Year 5 PV (M)	192.86	202.17	211.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,419.69	3,584.86	3,756.36
Equity Value (M)	4,318.94	4,510.67	4,709.42
Shares Outstanding (M)	71.79	71.79	71.79
Fair Value	$60.16	$62.83	$65.60
Upside / Downside	-30.69%	-27.61%	-24.42%

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MRBK	Meridian Corporation	2.85%	$0.49	27.85%
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CWT	California Water Service Group	2.83%	$1.22	53.25%
EBIX	Ebix, Inc.	2.83%	$0.08	46.85%
CMS-PB	Consumers Energy Company	2.82%	$2.17	62.27%
EPRT	Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc.	2.82%	$0.85	70.58%
GPK	Graphic Packaging Holding Company	2.82%	$0.43	24.85%
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ORRF	Orrstown Financial Services, Inc.	2.81%	$0.98	26.05%
TXNM	TXNM Energy, Inc.	2.80%	$1.65	86.75%
STC	Stewart Information Services Corporation	2.79%	$1.95	54.56%
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KKRS	KKR Group Finance Co. IX LLC 4.	2.77%	$0.49	7.61%
SHBI	Shore Bancshares, Inc.	2.77%	$0.48	28.28%
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YOU	Clear Secure, Inc.	2.75%	$0.95	50.89%
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MTDR	Matador Resources Company	2.74%	$1.19	18.96%
OFG	OFG Bancorp	2.74%	$1.12	25.13%
VLO	Valero Energy Corporation	2.74%	$4.53	93.65%
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PBHC	Pathfinder Bancorp, Inc.	2.71%	$0.38	26.39%
TRIN	Trinity Capital Inc.	2.71%	$0.41	20.50%
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Computer Direct Group Ltd. (CMDR.TA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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