Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk (BRIS.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8,893.79 - $32,194.01$28,133.11
Multi-Stage$4,013.60 - $4,394.74$4,200.66
Blended Fair Value$16,166.89
Current Price$2,590.00
Upside524.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS140.38%0.00%18.559.2416.410.005.520.230.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--100.83%-43.73%0.00%-100.00%2,290.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.79%0.36%0.98%0.00%0.25%0.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,467,578.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,050,883.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,416,695.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,493,515.60933,447.25560,068.35
Cash Retained (M)6,416,695.006,416,695.006,416,695.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,493,515.60-933,447.25-560,068.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,923,179.405,483,247.755,856,626.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)46,130.1546,130.1546,130.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share106.72118.86126.96
LTM Dividend per Share22.7822.7822.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share106.72118.86126.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend129.50141.65149.74
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$8,893.79$28,133.11$32,194.01
Upside / Downside243.39%986.22%1,143.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,467,578.007,952,970.578,469,913.669,020,458.049,606,787.8210,231,229.0310,538,165.90
Payout Ratio14.07%29.26%44.44%59.63%74.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,050,883.002,326,887.023,764,331.585,378,812.837,187,272.359,208,106.129,747,803.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,153,512.652,173,925.092,194,337.53
Year 2 PV (M)3,224,275.403,285,688.803,347,681.56
Year 3 PV (M)4,263,858.874,386,258.944,510,979.31
Year 4 PV (M)5,272,937.475,475,719.765,684,295.41
Year 5 PV (M)6,252,172.686,554,154.966,867,694.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)163,981,056.35171,901,402.69180,124,879.32
Equity Value (M)185,147,813.42193,777,150.23202,729,867.94
Shares Outstanding (M)46,130.1546,130.1546,130.15
Fair Value$4,013.60$4,200.66$4,394.74
Upside / Downside54.97%62.19%69.68%

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