Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Barito Renewables Energy Tbk (BREN.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Renewable UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.01 - $0.01$0.01
Multi-Stage$0.01 - $0.01$0.01
Blended Fair Value$0.01
Current Price$0.36
Upside-97.58%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--47.55%-8.70%289.82%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.11%0.07%0.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)129.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)31.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)97.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25.9216.209.72
Cash Retained (M)97.8797.8797.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-25.92-16.20-9.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)71.9481.6688.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)133,786.22133,786.22133,786.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.000.000.00
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.01$0.01$0.01
Upside / Downside-98.26%-97.91%-97.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)129.62128.32127.04125.77124.51123.27126.97
Payout Ratio24.50%37.60%50.70%63.80%76.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)31.7648.2564.4180.2495.75110.94117.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)43.4243.8644.31
Year 2 PV (M)52.1653.2354.31
Year 3 PV (M)58.4860.2962.13
Year 4 PV (M)62.8065.4068.08
Year 5 PV (M)65.4868.8972.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)990.201,041.761,095.45
Equity Value (M)1,272.531,333.431,396.72
Shares Outstanding (M)133,786.22133,786.22133,786.22
Fair Value$0.01$0.01$0.01
Upside / Downside-97.39%-97.26%-97.13%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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