DDM Analysis: BLGO.TA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.31 - $0.44	$0.38
Multi-Stage	$0.51 - $0.55	$0.53
Blended Fair Value	$0.45
Current Price	$2.11
Upside	-78.56%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
DPS	-13.71%	0.00%	0.04	0.00	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.09	0.06	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	-100.00%	95.50%	-0.78%	-60.55%	60.68%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.26%	0.00%	2.46%	0.82%	1.71%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	0.70

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	0.54	0.34	0.20
Cash Retained (M)	0.70	0.70	0.70
(-) Cash Required (M)	-0.54	-0.34	-0.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)	0.16	0.37	0.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	56.75	56.75	56.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.01	0.01
LTM Dividend per Share	0.04	0.04	0.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.01	0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.04	0.04	0.04
WACC / Discount Rate	9.99%	9.99%	9.99%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$0.31	$0.38	$0.44
Upside / Downside	-85.24%	-82.20%	-79.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2.70	2.68	2.65	2.62	2.60	2.57	2.65
Payout Ratio	73.96%	77.17%	80.38%	83.59%	86.79%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2.00	2.07	2.13	2.19	2.25	2.31	2.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.99%	9.99%	9.99%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	1.86	1.88	1.90
Year 2 PV (M)	1.73	1.76	1.80
Year 3 PV (M)	1.60	1.65	1.70
Year 4 PV (M)	1.48	1.54	1.60
Year 5 PV (M)	1.37	1.44	1.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)	20.69	21.77	22.89
Equity Value (M)	28.72	30.04	31.40
Shares Outstanding (M)	56.75	56.75	56.75
Fair Value	$0.51	$0.53	$0.55
Upside / Downside	-76.01%	-74.92%	-73.78%

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Buligo Capital Ltd (BLGO.TA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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