Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Benteng Api Technic Tbk. (BATR.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29.19 - $45.35$36.66
Multi-Stage$67.35 - $74.18$70.70
Blended Fair Value$53.68
Current Price$80.00
Upside-32.90%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.6612.600.420.400.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%-94.73%2,922.29%4.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.55%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,659.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,228.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,430.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,331.891,457.43874.46
Cash Retained (M)7,430.507,430.507,430.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,331.89-1,457.43-874.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,098.615,973.076,556.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,765.613,765.613,765.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.351.591.74
LTM Dividend per Share1.121.121.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.351.591.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.482.712.86
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$29.19$36.66$45.35
Upside / Downside-63.51%-54.17%-43.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,659.4611,542.8611,427.4311,313.1611,200.0311,088.0311,420.67
Payout Ratio36.27%47.02%57.76%68.51%79.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,228.965,427.056,600.767,750.458,876.489,979.2210,564.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5,053.075,104.645,156.20
Year 2 PV (M)5,722.395,839.775,958.34
Year 3 PV (M)6,256.096,449.566,646.98
Year 4 PV (M)6,671.286,947.777,232.77
Year 5 PV (M)6,983.247,346.877,725.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)222,930.72234,539.24246,626.38
Equity Value (M)253,616.78266,227.84279,346.17
Shares Outstanding (M)3,765.613,765.613,765.61
Fair Value$67.35$70.70$74.18
Upside / Downside-15.81%-11.63%-7.27%

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