DDM Analysis: ATYM.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3.38 - $4.79	$4.07
Multi-Stage	$5.02 - $5.52	$5.27
Blended Fair Value	$4.67
Current Price	$5.31
Upside	-12.04%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.07	0.08	0.03	0.32	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-10.21%	125.10%	-89.22%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.78%	1.67%	0.90%	6.73%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	74.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	10.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)	64.45

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	14.95	9.34	5.61
Cash Retained (M)	64.45	64.45	64.45
(-) Cash Required (M)	-14.95	-9.34	-5.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)	49.50	55.11	58.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	145.99	145.99	145.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.34	0.38	0.40
LTM Dividend per Share	0.07	0.07	0.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.34	0.38	0.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.41	0.45	0.47
WACC / Discount Rate	9.89%	9.89%	9.89%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$3.38	$4.07	$4.79
Upside / Downside	-36.42%	-23.30%	-9.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	74.76	74.01	73.27	72.54	71.81	71.09	73.22
Payout Ratio	13.79%	29.03%	44.27%	59.51%	74.76%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	10.31	21.48	32.44	43.17	53.68	63.98	67.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.89%	9.89%	9.89%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	19.35	19.55	19.75
Year 2 PV (M)	26.32	26.86	27.41
Year 3 PV (M)	31.55	32.53	33.53
Year 4 PV (M)	35.35	36.81	38.32
Year 5 PV (M)	37.95	39.93	41.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)	583.01	613.37	644.98
Equity Value (M)	733.54	769.05	805.97
Shares Outstanding (M)	145.99	145.99	145.99
Fair Value	$5.02	$5.27	$5.52
Upside / Downside	-5.37%	-0.79%	3.97%

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Atalaya Mining Plc (ATYM.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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