Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PJSC Aeroflot - Russian Airlines (AFLT.ME)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$167.60 - $243.95$204.56
Multi-Stage$359.55 - $396.95$377.87
Blended Fair Value$291.22
Current Price$66.33
Upside339.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-66.93%-41.63%0.000.030.010.000.130.843.704.800.010.02
YoY Growth---89.17%471.43%50.00%-97.30%-84.24%-77.40%-22.89%38,387.76%-44.32%-96.89%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.06%0.02%0.01%0.20%1.22%3.79%3.09%0.01%0.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)90,125.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)118.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)90,007.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18,025.0011,265.636,759.38
Cash Retained (M)90,007.0090,007.0090,007.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-18,025.00-11,265.63-6,759.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)71,982.0078,741.3883,247.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,928.003,928.003,928.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share18.3320.0521.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share18.3320.0521.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend18.3620.0821.22
WACC / Discount Rate7.10%7.10%7.10%
Growth Rate-3.47%-2.47%-1.47%
Fair Value$167.60$204.56$243.95
Upside / Downside152.67%208.39%267.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)90,125.0087,900.2485,730.4083,614.1381,550.1079,537.0181,923.12
Payout Ratio0.13%18.10%36.08%54.05%72.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)118.0015,914.1130,930.2945,195.4258,737.4271,583.3175,778.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.10%7.10%7.10%
Growth Rate-3.47%-2.47%-1.47%
Year 1 PV (M)14,706.2614,858.6115,010.95
Year 2 PV (M)26,413.3626,963.4427,519.20
Year 3 PV (M)35,665.9536,785.9037,929.05
Year 4 PV (M)42,834.5444,637.2646,496.29
Year 5 PV (M)48,240.3950,791.3953,449.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,244,443.081,310,250.361,378,812.61
Equity Value (M)1,412,303.581,484,286.951,559,217.27
Shares Outstanding (M)3,928.003,928.003,928.00
Fair Value$359.55$377.87$396.95
Upside / Downside442.06%469.69%498.45%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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