Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ximei Resources Holding Limited (9936.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.65 - $10.26$8.33
Multi-Stage$14.55 - $16.04$15.28
Blended Fair Value$11.80
Current Price$3.68
Upside220.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.090.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%5.57%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)258.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)233.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)51.6732.2919.38
Cash Retained (M)233.31233.31233.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-51.67-32.29-19.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)181.64201.02213.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)358.94358.94358.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.510.560.60
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.510.560.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.580.630.67
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6.65$8.33$10.26
Upside / Downside80.69%126.32%178.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)258.34255.76253.20250.67248.16245.68253.05
Payout Ratio9.69%25.75%41.81%57.88%73.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25.0365.86105.87145.07183.48221.11234.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)61.2261.8562.47
Year 2 PV (M)91.4993.3795.26
Year 3 PV (M)116.54120.15123.83
Year 4 PV (M)137.02142.70148.56
Year 5 PV (M)153.50161.49169.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,661.544,904.275,157.02
Equity Value (M)5,221.315,483.835,756.95
Shares Outstanding (M)358.94358.94358.94
Fair Value$14.55$15.28$16.04
Upside / Downside295.28%315.16%335.84%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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