Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Group Five Pipe Saudi Ltd. (9523.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$54.80 - $85.02$68.79
Multi-Stage$122.90 - $135.54$129.09
Blended Fair Value$98.94
Current Price$28.30
Upside249.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.860.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)163.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)149.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)32.6820.4212.25
Cash Retained (M)149.40149.40149.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-32.68-20.42-12.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)116.72128.97137.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.0028.0028.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.174.614.90
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.174.614.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.675.115.40
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$54.80$68.79$85.02
Upside / Downside93.64%143.07%200.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)163.40161.77160.15158.55156.96155.39160.05
Payout Ratio8.57%24.85%41.14%57.43%73.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.0040.2165.8991.05115.70139.85148.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)37.4237.8138.19
Year 2 PV (M)57.0858.2559.44
Year 3 PV (M)73.4375.7078.01
Year 4 PV (M)86.8590.4594.16
Year 5 PV (M)97.71102.80108.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,088.773,249.613,417.09
Equity Value (M)3,441.273,614.623,794.98
Shares Outstanding (M)28.0028.0028.00
Fair Value$122.90$129.09$135.54
Upside / Downside334.28%356.16%378.92%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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