Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Keihanshin Building Co., Ltd. (8818.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,361.82 - $19,662.79$6,219.43
Multi-Stage$3,669.41 - $4,031.41$3,846.97
Blended Fair Value$5,033.20
Current Price$1,639.00
Upside207.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS7.30%9.28%37.6436.1339.2234.4930.9026.4621.5319.3418.2617.15
YoY Growth--4.17%-7.90%13.74%11.62%16.78%22.89%11.33%5.89%6.48%10.73%
Dividend Yield--2.51%2.11%3.40%2.63%2.27%1.91%2.14%2.12%2.61%3.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,932.47
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)464.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,467.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)986.49616.56369.94
Cash Retained (M)4,467.984,467.984,467.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-986.49-616.56-369.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,481.493,851.434,098.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)48.7448.7448.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share71.4279.0184.07
LTM Dividend per Share9.539.539.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share71.4279.0184.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend80.9588.5493.60
WACC / Discount Rate5.52%5.52%5.52%
Growth Rate3.04%4.04%5.04%
Fair Value$3,361.82$6,219.43$19,662.79
Upside / Downside105.11%279.47%1,099.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,932.475,131.545,338.645,554.105,778.266,011.466,191.80
Payout Ratio9.42%25.53%41.65%57.77%73.88%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)464.481,310.262,223.553,208.424,269.175,410.315,727.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.52%5.52%5.52%
Growth Rate3.04%4.04%5.04%
Year 1 PV (M)1,229.821,241.751,253.69
Year 2 PV (M)1,958.901,997.112,035.69
Year 3 PV (M)2,653.022,731.022,810.53
Year 4 PV (M)3,313.423,443.933,578.27
Year 5 PV (M)3,941.294,136.294,338.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)165,768.06173,969.92182,493.26
Equity Value (M)178,864.51187,520.03196,510.38
Shares Outstanding (M)48.7448.7448.74
Fair Value$3,669.41$3,846.97$4,031.41
Upside / Downside123.88%134.71%145.97%

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