DDM Analysis: 688798.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$81.60 - $302.86	$246.75
Multi-Stage	$37.69 - $41.25	$39.44
Blended Fair Value	$143.10
Current Price	$92.43
Upside	54.82%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-17.53%	49.61%	0.12	0.08	0.62	0.03	0.23	0.31	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	40.44%	-86.44%	1,909.87%	-86.54%	-25.91%	2,110.34%	-5.20%	687.92%	25.27%	-28.78%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.16%	0.15%	0.74%	0.03%	0.12%	0.17%	0.01%	0.01%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	352.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	88.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	264.70

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	70.54	44.09	26.45
Cash Retained (M)	264.70	264.70	264.70
(-) Cash Required (M)	-70.54	-44.09	-26.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)	194.16	220.61	238.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	231.60	231.60	231.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.84	0.95	1.03
LTM Dividend per Share	0.38	0.38	0.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.84	0.95	1.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.22	1.33	1.41
WACC / Discount Rate	7.08%	7.08%	7.08%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$81.60	$246.75	$302.86
Upside / Downside	-11.72%	166.96%	227.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	352.69	375.62	400.03	426.04	453.73	483.22	497.72
Payout Ratio	24.95%	37.96%	50.97%	63.98%	76.99%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	88.00	142.58	203.90	272.58	349.32	434.90	460.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.08%	7.08%	7.08%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	131.91	133.16	134.41
Year 2 PV (M)	174.52	177.84	181.20
Year 3 PV (M)	215.84	222.04	228.35
Year 4 PV (M)	255.91	265.75	275.87
Year 5 PV (M)	294.75	308.99	323.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)	7,656.94	8,026.78	8,410.76
Equity Value (M)	8,729.87	9,134.56	9,554.37
Shares Outstanding (M)	231.60	231.60	231.60
Fair Value	$37.69	$39.44	$41.25
Upside / Downside	-59.22%	-57.33%	-55.37%

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Shanghai Awinic Technology Co.,Ltd. (688798.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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