Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Henan Pinggao Electric Co.,Ltd. (600312.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$61.74 - $168.32$157.74
Multi-Stage$23.64 - $25.88$24.74
Blended Fair Value$91.24
Current Price$16.78
Upside443.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.12%16.88%0.350.070.040.060.110.160.230.680.480.48
YoY Growth--425.76%81.88%-41.13%-45.24%-28.51%-30.38%-66.11%40.81%1.46%540.22%
Dividend Yield--2.03%0.48%0.38%0.78%1.68%1.97%2.63%7.48%2.86%3.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,148.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)393.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)754.76
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)229.70143.5686.14
Cash Retained (M)754.76754.76754.76
(-) Cash Required (M)-229.70-143.56-86.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)525.06611.20668.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,356.961,356.961,356.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.390.450.49
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.390.450.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.680.740.78
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$61.74$157.74$168.32
Upside / Downside267.96%840.06%903.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,148.491,223.151,302.651,387.321,477.501,573.541,620.74
Payout Ratio34.28%45.43%56.57%67.71%78.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)393.74555.63736.91939.401,165.111,416.181,499.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)516.06520.95525.84
Year 2 PV (M)635.68647.79660.01
Year 3 PV (M)752.65774.25796.27
Year 4 PV (M)867.00900.34934.64
Year 5 PV (M)978.791,026.061,075.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,333.8829,702.4231,123.33
Equity Value (M)32,084.0533,571.8135,115.24
Shares Outstanding (M)1,356.961,356.961,356.96
Fair Value$23.64$24.74$25.88
Upside / Downside40.91%47.44%54.22%

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