DDM Analysis: 600218.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$34.23 - $40.36	$37.81
Multi-Stage	$25.73 - $28.33	$27.01
Blended Fair Value	$32.41
Current Price	$9.23
Upside	251.13%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	114.09%	7.65%	0.07	0.08	0.11	0.09	0.07	0.00	0.05	0.07	0.07	0.10
YoY Growth	-	-	-13.12%	-23.96%	18.46%	33.63%	4,200.29%	-96.51%	-38.33%	0.37%	-27.61%	197.20%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.83%	0.99%	1.20%	0.90%	0.76%	0.02%	0.39%	1.13%	0.71%	0.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	90.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	26.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)	64.32

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	18.10	11.31	6.79
Cash Retained (M)	64.32	64.32	64.32
(-) Cash Required (M)	-18.10	-11.31	-6.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)	46.22	53.01	57.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	430.93	430.93	430.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.11	0.12	0.13
LTM Dividend per Share	0.06	0.06	0.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.11	0.12	0.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.17	0.18	0.19
WACC / Discount Rate	-2.50%	-2.50%	-2.50%
Growth Rate	1.89%	2.89%	3.89%
Fair Value	$34.23	$37.81	$40.36
Upside / Downside	270.90%	309.66%	337.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	90.50	93.11	95.80	98.56	101.40	104.33	107.46
Payout Ratio	28.92%	41.14%	53.35%	65.57%	77.78%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	26.18	38.30	51.11	64.63	78.88	93.90	99.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	-2.50%	-2.50%	-2.50%
Growth Rate	1.89%	2.89%	3.89%
Year 1 PV (M)	38.90	39.29	39.67
Year 2 PV (M)	52.73	53.77	54.82
Year 3 PV (M)	67.71	69.72	71.78
Year 4 PV (M)	83.94	87.28	90.72
Year 5 PV (M)	101.49	106.57	111.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)	10,743.52	11,281.21	11,840.21
Equity Value (M)	11,088.29	11,637.83	12,209.05
Shares Outstanding (M)	430.93	430.93	430.93
Fair Value	$25.73	$27.01	$28.33
Upside / Downside	178.78%	192.59%	206.96%

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Anhui Quanchai Engine Co., Ltd. (600218.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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