Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Integral Corporation (5842.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,491.25 - $3,705.59$3,070.04
Multi-Stage$4,560.99 - $5,023.05$4,787.48
Blended Fair Value$3,928.76
Current Price$3,195.00
Upside22.97%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%11.390.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,736.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,135.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)9,601.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,147.201,342.00805.20
Cash Retained (M)9,601.009,601.009,601.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,147.20-1,342.00-805.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,453.808,259.008,795.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)34.9334.9334.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share213.37236.41251.78
LTM Dividend per Share32.4932.4932.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share213.37236.41251.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend245.86268.90284.27
WACC / Discount Rate7.67%7.67%7.67%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2,491.25$3,070.04$3,705.59
Upside / Downside-22.03%-3.91%15.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,736.0010,628.6410,522.3510,417.1310,312.9610,209.8310,516.12
Payout Ratio10.57%26.46%42.34%58.23%74.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,135.002,812.084,455.506,065.777,643.399,188.859,727.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.67%7.67%7.67%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2,585.342,611.722,638.10
Year 2 PV (M)3,765.973,843.223,921.25
Year 3 PV (M)4,713.654,859.425,008.17
Year 4 PV (M)5,460.705,687.025,920.30
Year 5 PV (M)6,035.516,349.796,677.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)136,774.36143,896.51151,312.32
Equity Value (M)159,335.52167,247.69175,477.18
Shares Outstanding (M)34.9334.9334.93
Fair Value$4,560.99$4,787.48$5,023.05
Upside / Downside42.75%49.84%57.22%

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