Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Tropicana Corporation Berhad (5401.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.77 - $1.20$0.97
Multi-Stage$1.79 - $1.98$1.88
Blended Fair Value$1.43
Current Price$1.19
Upside19.91%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS3.17%0.00%0.020.020.020.010.010.020.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--4.96%11.45%128.79%0.26%-56.44%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.68%1.45%1.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)199.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)187.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)39.8024.8714.92
Cash Retained (M)187.66187.66187.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-39.80-24.87-14.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)147.86162.78172.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,487.822,487.822,487.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.070.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.070.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.070.07
WACC / Discount Rate6.15%6.15%6.15%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.77$0.97$1.20
Upside / Downside-35.32%-18.54%1.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)199.00197.01195.04193.09191.16189.24194.92
Payout Ratio5.70%22.56%39.42%56.28%73.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.3444.4476.88108.67139.81170.32180.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.15%6.15%6.15%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)41.4541.8742.29
Year 2 PV (M)66.8668.2469.62
Year 3 PV (M)88.1390.8693.64
Year 4 PV (M)105.75110.13114.65
Year 5 PV (M)120.13126.39132.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,040.404,250.794,469.86
Equity Value (M)4,462.734,688.284,922.97
Shares Outstanding (M)2,487.822,487.822,487.82
Fair Value$1.79$1.88$1.98
Upside / Downside50.74%58.36%66.29%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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