Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

ITMAX System Berhad (5309.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Security & Protection ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.56 - $0.79$0.68
Multi-Stage$0.85 - $0.93$0.89
Blended Fair Value$0.78
Current Price$4.49
Upside-82.60%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.030.010.010.010.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--225.43%2.81%33.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.66%0.33%0.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)89.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)69.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.9811.246.74
Cash Retained (M)69.3169.3169.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.98-11.24-6.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)51.3358.0762.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,059.341,059.341,059.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.070.070.08
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.56$0.68$0.79
Upside / Downside-87.53%-84.95%-82.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)89.9289.0288.1387.2586.3885.5188.08
Payout Ratio22.92%36.33%49.75%63.17%76.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20.6132.3443.8555.1166.1576.9681.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)29.1429.4329.73
Year 2 PV (M)35.5836.3137.05
Year 3 PV (M)40.2941.5442.81
Year 4 PV (M)43.5745.3747.23
Year 5 PV (M)45.6648.0450.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)702.09738.65776.72
Equity Value (M)896.33939.35984.06
Shares Outstanding (M)1,059.341,059.341,059.34
Fair Value$0.85$0.89$0.93
Upside / Downside-81.16%-80.25%-79.31%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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