Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Dynamic Holding Co., Ltd. (3715.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$80.66 - $220.47$124.47
Multi-Stage$89.17 - $97.57$93.29
Blended Fair Value$108.88
Current Price$45.30
Upside140.36%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%1.500.800.700.400.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--87.59%14.30%75.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.33%1.08%3.06%1.98%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)952.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)833.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)119.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)190.42119.0171.41
Cash Retained (M)119.10119.10119.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-190.42-119.01-71.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)-71.320.0847.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)277.07277.07277.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.260.000.17
LTM Dividend per Share3.013.013.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.260.000.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.753.013.18
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate3.16%4.16%5.16%
Fair Value$80.66$124.47$220.47
Upside / Downside78.05%174.77%386.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)952.11991.711,032.961,075.921,120.681,167.291,202.31
Payout Ratio87.49%87.99%88.49%89.00%89.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)833.01872.64914.11957.531,002.991,050.561,112.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate3.16%4.16%5.16%
Year 1 PV (M)810.17818.03825.88
Year 2 PV (M)787.94803.29818.79
Year 3 PV (M)766.29788.79811.73
Year 4 PV (M)745.21774.53804.70
Year 5 PV (M)724.69760.50797.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)20,872.5021,903.9722,975.82
Equity Value (M)24,706.8025,849.1027,034.63
Shares Outstanding (M)277.07277.07277.07
Fair Value$89.17$93.29$97.57
Upside / Downside96.85%105.95%115.39%

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