Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hi Sharp Electronics Co., Ltd. (3128.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$44.67 - $208.50$78.77
Multi-Stage$38.48 - $42.21$40.31
Blended Fair Value$59.54
Current Price$31.70
Upside87.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS9.83%0.00%0.681.000.590.470.440.420.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---32.62%71.43%25.75%5.77%4.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.27%3.46%1.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)70.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)62.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.128.825.29
Cash Retained (M)62.2062.2062.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.12-8.82-5.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)48.0853.3756.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.0649.0649.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.981.091.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.170.170.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.981.091.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.151.261.33
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate3.81%4.81%5.81%
Fair Value$44.67$78.77$208.50
Upside / Downside40.91%148.48%557.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)70.6074.0077.5681.2985.2089.3091.98
Payout Ratio11.90%27.52%43.14%58.76%74.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.4020.3633.4647.7763.3780.3785.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate3.81%4.81%5.81%
Year 1 PV (M)18.9419.1219.30
Year 2 PV (M)28.9429.5030.07
Year 3 PV (M)38.4339.5640.70
Year 4 PV (M)47.4349.2851.19
Year 5 PV (M)55.9558.6961.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,697.861,781.221,867.83
Equity Value (M)1,887.551,977.382,070.64
Shares Outstanding (M)49.0649.0649.06
Fair Value$38.48$40.31$42.21
Upside / Downside21.38%27.15%33.15%

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