Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Teemsun Technology Co Ltd (301571.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.53 - $12.73$10.53
Multi-Stage$15.88 - $17.49$16.67
Blended Fair Value$13.60
Current Price$45.90
Upside-70.37%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.090.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.22%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)191.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)166.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)38.3123.9414.37
Cash Retained (M)166.75166.75166.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-38.31-23.94-14.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)128.44142.81152.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)184.09184.09184.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.700.780.83
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.700.780.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.830.910.96
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$8.53$10.53$12.73
Upside / Downside-81.41%-77.06%-72.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)191.55189.63187.74185.86184.00182.16187.62
Payout Ratio12.94%28.36%43.77%59.18%74.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24.7953.7782.16109.99137.24163.94173.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)49.4949.9950.50
Year 2 PV (M)69.5971.0272.46
Year 3 PV (M)85.7388.3891.09
Year 4 PV (M)98.45102.53106.74
Year 5 PV (M)108.24113.87119.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,511.982,642.782,778.98
Equity Value (M)2,923.473,068.583,219.50
Shares Outstanding (M)184.09184.09184.09
Fair Value$15.88$16.67$17.49
Upside / Downside-65.40%-63.68%-61.90%

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