DDM Analysis: 300709.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$34.13 - $177.48	$68.90
Multi-Stage	$18.74 - $20.51	$19.61
Blended Fair Value	$44.25
Current Price	$51.10
Upside	-13.40%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	27.33%	30.90%	0.17	0.09	0.23	0.18	0.13	0.05	0.23	0.30	0.16	0.02
YoY Growth	-	-	82.79%	-59.91%	26.53%	35.78%	165.84%	-78.47%	-20.43%	90.35%	837.81%	44.30%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.44%	0.28%	0.94%	0.50%	0.47%	0.12%	0.90%	0.91%	0.52%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	170.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	21.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)	149.35

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	34.16	21.35	12.81
Cash Retained (M)	149.35	149.35	149.35
(-) Cash Required (M)	-34.16	-21.35	-12.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)	115.19	128.00	136.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	191.40	191.40	191.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.60	0.67	0.71
LTM Dividend per Share	0.11	0.11	0.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.60	0.67	0.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.71	0.78	0.83
WACC / Discount Rate	7.71%	7.71%	7.71%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$34.13	$68.90	$177.48
Upside / Downside	-33.21%	34.84%	247.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	170.80	181.91	193.73	206.32	219.73	234.02	241.04
Payout Ratio	12.56%	28.05%	43.54%	59.02%	74.51%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	21.45	51.02	84.34	121.78	163.73	210.61	222.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.71%	7.71%	7.71%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	46.92	47.37	47.81
Year 2 PV (M)	71.34	72.70	74.07
Year 3 PV (M)	94.74	97.46	100.23
Year 4 PV (M)	117.15	121.66	126.29
Year 5 PV (M)	138.61	145.30	152.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,117.29	3,267.86	3,424.19
Equity Value (M)	3,586.06	3,752.35	3,924.85
Shares Outstanding (M)	191.40	191.40	191.40
Fair Value	$18.74	$19.61	$20.51
Upside / Downside	-63.33%	-61.63%	-59.87%

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Jiangsu Gian Technology Co., Ltd. (300709.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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