Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Fujian Boss Software Corp. (300525.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.02 - $34.05$16.43
Multi-Stage$6.52 - $7.12$6.82
Blended Fair Value$11.62
Current Price$13.83
Upside-15.95%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS26.86%0.00%0.200.080.060.050.040.060.020.000.020.00
YoY Growth--135.60%47.30%6.36%25.79%-29.25%201.44%470,697.39%-99.98%20,066.43%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.17%0.63%0.29%0.47%0.45%0.61%0.27%0.00%0.21%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)274.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)94.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)180.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)54.9734.3620.61
Cash Retained (M)180.10180.10180.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-54.97-34.36-20.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)125.13145.75159.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)755.90755.90755.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.190.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.190.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.290.320.34
WACC / Discount Rate8.56%8.56%8.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$10.02$16.43$34.05
Upside / Downside-27.53%18.82%146.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)274.85292.72311.74332.01353.59376.57387.87
Payout Ratio34.47%45.58%56.68%67.79%78.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)94.75133.41176.70225.06278.96338.91358.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.56%8.56%8.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)121.74122.89124.04
Year 2 PV (M)147.13149.93152.76
Year 3 PV (M)170.99175.90180.90
Year 4 PV (M)193.39200.83208.48
Year 5 PV (M)214.39224.75235.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,080.564,277.664,482.29
Equity Value (M)4,928.215,151.965,383.98
Shares Outstanding (M)755.90755.90755.90
Fair Value$6.52$6.82$7.12
Upside / Downside-52.86%-50.72%-48.50%

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