DDM Analysis: 300499.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.03 - $0.03	$0.03
Multi-Stage	$0.04 - $0.05	$0.04
Blended Fair Value	$0.04
Current Price	$32.52
Upside	-99.89%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-45.11%	-8.40%	0.00	0.14	0.03	0.04	0.08	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.05	0.01
YoY Growth	-	-	-97.86%	325.44%	-19.73%	-50.73%	38.63%	319.35%	-74.60%	5.09%	267.22%	102.86%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.01%	1.06%	0.24%	0.36%	0.88%	0.55%	0.19%	0.69%	0.33%	0.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1.43

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	0.31	0.20	0.12
Cash Retained (M)	1.43	1.43	1.43
(-) Cash Required (M)	-0.31	-0.20	-0.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1.12	1.24	1.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	305.25	305.25	305.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
LTM Dividend per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.00	0.00	0.00
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	-5.28%	-4.28%	-3.28%
Fair Value	$0.03	$0.03	$0.03
Upside / Downside	-99.92%	-99.91%	-99.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1.56	1.50	1.43	1.37	1.31	1.25	1.29
Payout Ratio	8.22%	24.58%	40.93%	57.29%	73.64%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.13	0.37	0.59	0.78	0.97	1.13	1.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	-5.28%	-4.28%	-3.28%
Year 1 PV (M)	0.33	0.33	0.34
Year 2 PV (M)	0.47	0.48	0.49
Year 3 PV (M)	0.57	0.59	0.61
Year 4 PV (M)	0.63	0.66	0.69
Year 5 PV (M)	0.67	0.70	0.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)	10.07	10.61	11.18
Equity Value (M)	12.74	13.38	14.04
Shares Outstanding (M)	305.25	305.25	305.25
Fair Value	$0.04	$0.04	$0.05
Upside / Downside	-99.87%	-99.87%	-99.86%

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Guangzhou Goaland Energy Conservation Tech. Co., Ltd. (300499.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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