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Shining Victory Motor Electronic Co., Ltd. (2248.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$92.19 - $145.21$116.47
Multi-Stage$191.89 - $211.37$201.44
Blended Fair Value$158.96
Current Price$47.85
Upside232.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.57%0.00%0.910.790.690.000.570.890.830.001.500.00
YoY Growth--14.96%14.64%0.00%-100.00%-35.48%7.45%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.38%2.23%2.41%0.00%2.56%2.36%1.70%0.00%2.77%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)400.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)73.47
(=) Cash Retained (M)327.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)80.1250.0830.05
Cash Retained (M)327.15327.15327.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-80.12-50.08-30.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)247.03277.07297.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)43.0243.0243.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.746.446.91
LTM Dividend per Share1.711.711.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.746.446.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.458.158.61
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-1.43%-0.43%0.57%
Fair Value$92.19$116.47$145.21
Upside / Downside92.66%143.41%203.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)400.62398.91397.21395.52393.83392.15403.91
Payout Ratio18.34%32.67%47.00%61.34%75.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)73.47130.33186.71242.59298.00352.93373.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-1.43%-0.43%0.57%
Year 1 PV (M)121.10122.33123.56
Year 2 PV (M)161.20164.49167.81
Year 3 PV (M)194.62200.61206.71
Year 4 PV (M)222.15231.30240.73
Year 5 PV (M)244.46257.12270.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,311.227,689.688,083.64
Equity Value (M)8,254.768,665.529,092.75
Shares Outstanding (M)43.0243.0243.02
Fair Value$191.89$201.44$211.37
Upside / Downside301.03%320.99%341.74%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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