Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Plover Bay Technologies Limited (1523.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.10 - $9.05$3.64
Multi-Stage$1.38 - $1.50$1.44
Blended Fair Value$2.54
Current Price$0.74
Upside244.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.49%24.35%0.030.020.020.010.010.010.010.010.000.00
YoY Growth--48.35%6.15%29.41%10.84%17.16%48.01%43.39%161.17%-20.35%-24.36%
Dividend Yield--5.13%7.55%7.36%2.84%11.07%7.80%5.30%2.58%3.08%4.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)75.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)69.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.109.445.66
Cash Retained (M)6.026.026.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.10-9.44-5.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)-9.07-3.410.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,102.501,102.501,102.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.050.060.06
WACC / Discount Rate8.25%8.25%8.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2.10$3.64$9.05
Upside / Downside184.28%393.04%1,125.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)75.4980.3985.6291.1897.11103.42106.53
Payout Ratio92.02%91.62%91.21%90.81%90.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)69.4673.6578.0982.8087.7993.0898.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.25%8.25%8.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)67.4068.0468.68
Year 2 PV (M)65.4066.6467.90
Year 3 PV (M)63.4565.2767.13
Year 4 PV (M)61.5663.9366.37
Year 5 PV (M)59.7362.6265.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,203.941,262.091,322.47
Equity Value (M)1,521.481,588.591,658.15
Shares Outstanding (M)1,102.501,102.501,102.50
Fair Value$1.38$1.44$1.50
Upside / Downside86.84%95.08%103.62%

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