Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shinsung Delta Tech Co.,Ltd. (065350.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Sector:

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10,194.60 - $26,227.22$15,440.82
Multi-Stage$7,153.77 - $7,809.25$7,475.59
Blended Fair Value$11,458.20
Current Price$55,400.00
Upside-79.32%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS34.49%0.00%183.54119.31138.8299.4269.4141.710.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--53.84%-14.06%39.62%43.25%66.41%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.32%0.11%1.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,096.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,579.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,517.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,419.251,512.03907.22
Cash Retained (M)7,517.097,517.097,517.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,419.25-1,512.03-907.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,097.846,005.056,609.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)27.1427.1427.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share187.83221.25243.54
LTM Dividend per Share168.72168.72168.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share187.83221.25243.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend356.55389.97412.26
WACC / Discount Rate9.19%9.19%9.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$10,194.60$15,440.82$26,227.22
Upside / Downside-81.60%-72.13%-52.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,096.2512,882.5113,719.8714,611.6615,561.4216,572.9117,070.10
Payout Ratio37.86%48.28%58.71%69.14%79.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,579.166,220.308,055.4310,102.8612,382.4114,915.6215,789.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.19%9.19%9.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5,643.295,696.785,750.27
Year 2 PV (M)6,630.266,756.556,884.03
Year 3 PV (M)7,544.097,760.667,981.33
Year 4 PV (M)8,388.598,711.199,043.01
Year 5 PV (M)9,167.409,610.1910,069.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)156,786.75164,359.61172,222.30
Equity Value (M)194,160.39202,894.98211,950.86
Shares Outstanding (M)27.1427.1427.14
Fair Value$7,153.77$7,475.59$7,809.25
Upside / Downside-87.09%-86.51%-85.90%

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