Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Brother Enterprises Holding Co.,Ltd. (002562.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.28 - $20.36$19.08
Multi-Stage$4.01 - $4.39$4.20
Blended Fair Value$11.64
Current Price$7.26
Upside60.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-9.32%20.88%0.050.100.040.030.030.080.100.050.000.02
YoY Growth---48.37%163.19%43.26%-18.69%-61.27%-17.26%99.84%29,183.88%-99.13%159.00%
Dividend Yield--1.26%2.79%0.71%0.51%0.66%1.49%1.50%0.57%0.00%0.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)109.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)39.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)70.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.9413.718.23
Cash Retained (M)70.2170.2170.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.94-13.71-8.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)48.2756.5061.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,071.451,071.451,071.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.080.090.09
WACC / Discount Rate5.65%5.65%5.65%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$17.28$19.08$20.36
Upside / Downside138.08%162.87%180.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)109.71116.85124.44132.53141.14150.32154.83
Payout Ratio36.01%46.81%57.60%68.40%79.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)39.5054.6971.6890.65111.79135.29143.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.65%5.65%5.65%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)51.2851.7752.25
Year 2 PV (M)63.0364.2365.44
Year 3 PV (M)74.7476.8879.07
Year 4 PV (M)86.4289.7493.16
Year 5 PV (M)98.06102.80107.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,923.794,113.314,310.09
Equity Value (M)4,297.324,498.734,707.73
Shares Outstanding (M)1,071.451,071.451,071.45
Fair Value$4.01$4.20$4.39
Upside / Downside-44.76%-42.17%-39.48%

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