Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Kingnet Network Co., Ltd. (002517.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$152.01 - $179.10$167.84
Multi-Stage$110.73 - $121.55$116.04
Blended Fair Value$141.94
Current Price$28.08
Upside405.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS150.22%83.51%0.200.130.000.000.000.000.130.070.000.00
YoY Growth--54.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-98.47%88.34%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--1.23%1.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.07%2.73%0.61%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,931.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)213.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,718.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)386.38241.49144.89
Cash Retained (M)1,718.251,718.251,718.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-386.38-241.49-144.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,331.871,476.761,573.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,145.212,145.212,145.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.620.690.73
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.620.690.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.720.790.83
WACC / Discount Rate0.82%0.82%0.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$152.01$167.84$179.10
Upside / Downside441.36%497.73%537.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,931.892,057.462,191.202,333.632,485.312,646.862,726.26
Payout Ratio11.06%26.85%42.64%58.42%74.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)213.64552.37934.221,363.391,844.392,382.172,521.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.82%0.82%0.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)542.72547.86553.01
Year 2 PV (M)901.87919.05936.39
Year 3 PV (M)1,293.181,330.301,368.13
Year 4 PV (M)1,718.861,784.971,852.96
Year 5 PV (M)2,181.262,286.622,396.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)230,910.56242,063.63253,643.55
Equity Value (M)237,548.46248,932.43260,750.04
Shares Outstanding (M)2,145.212,145.212,145.21
Fair Value$110.73$116.04$121.55
Upside / Downside294.35%313.25%332.87%

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