DDM Analysis: 002397.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.12 - $0.16	$0.14
Multi-Stage	$0.28 - $0.31	$0.29
Blended Fair Value	$0.22
Current Price	$3.61
Upside	-93.97%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-34.78%	-13.75%	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.09	0.20	0.17	0.09	0.08	0.08	0.08
YoY Growth	-	-	10.55%	-52.94%	-58.86%	-53.01%	17.27%	96.91%	8.08%	1.14%	3.91%	-13.68%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.52%	0.62%	0.88%	2.62%	5.17%	4.04%	1.68%	1.31%	1.07%	1.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	30.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	7.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)	23.29

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	6.16	3.85	2.31
Cash Retained (M)	23.29	23.29	23.29
(-) Cash Required (M)	-6.16	-3.85	-2.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)	17.14	19.45	20.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	853.91	853.91	853.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.02	0.02	0.02
LTM Dividend per Share	0.01	0.01	0.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.02	0.02	0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.03	0.03	0.03
WACC / Discount Rate	8.42%	8.42%	8.42%
Growth Rate	-12.26%	-11.26%	-10.26%
Fair Value	$0.12	$0.14	$0.16
Upside / Downside	-96.61%	-96.06%	-95.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	30.79	27.32	24.25	21.52	19.09	16.94	17.45
Payout Ratio	24.35%	37.48%	50.61%	63.74%	76.87%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	7.50	10.24	12.27	13.71	14.68	15.25	16.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.42%	8.42%	8.42%
Growth Rate	-12.26%	-11.26%	-10.26%
Year 1 PV (M)	9.34	9.44	9.55
Year 2 PV (M)	10.20	10.44	10.68
Year 3 PV (M)	10.40	10.76	11.13
Year 4 PV (M)	10.15	10.62	11.11
Year 5 PV (M)	9.62	10.18	10.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)	187.78	198.73	210.18
Equity Value (M)	237.49	250.17	263.41
Shares Outstanding (M)	853.91	853.91	853.91
Fair Value	$0.28	$0.29	$0.31
Upside / Downside	-92.30%	-91.88%	-91.46%

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Hunan Mendale Hometextile Co.,Ltd (002397.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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