Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Taiji Computer Corporation Limited (002368.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.31 - $13.07$8.88
Multi-Stage$8.17 - $8.97$8.56
Blended Fair Value$8.72
Current Price$27.66
Upside-68.46%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.16%11.69%0.290.260.280.310.240.230.210.210.150.13
YoY Growth--10.49%-8.24%-10.08%30.30%3.22%8.58%1.17%45.72%14.46%34.44%
Dividend Yield--1.15%1.02%0.67%1.47%1.13%0.89%0.75%1.06%0.67%0.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)223.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)170.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)44.6827.9316.76
Cash Retained (M)170.80170.80170.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-44.68-27.93-16.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)126.11142.87154.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)623.13623.13623.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.230.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.230.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.290.310.33
WACC / Discount Rate6.80%6.80%6.80%
Growth Rate2.16%3.16%4.16%
Fair Value$6.31$8.88$13.07
Upside / Downside-77.18%-67.88%-52.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)223.41230.47237.75245.27253.02261.02268.85
Payout Ratio23.55%36.84%50.13%63.42%76.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52.6184.90119.19155.55194.09234.91248.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.80%6.80%6.80%
Growth Rate2.16%3.16%4.16%
Year 1 PV (M)78.7379.5080.27
Year 2 PV (M)102.47104.49106.52
Year 3 PV (M)124.00127.68131.43
Year 4 PV (M)143.47149.17155.03
Year 5 PV (M)161.00169.04177.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,481.664,705.344,937.86
Equity Value (M)5,091.325,335.205,588.50
Shares Outstanding (M)623.13623.13623.13
Fair Value$8.17$8.56$8.97
Upside / Downside-70.46%-69.05%-67.58%

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