Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Chonbang Co., Ltd. (000950.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$250,986.00 - $389,604.88$315,121.44
Multi-Stage$562,172.01 - $620,100.89$590,561.80
Blended Fair Value$452,841.62
Current Price$36,500.00
Upside1,140.66%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.001,000.130.000.000.000.00500.060.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%4.63%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.88%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)30,403.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,139.47
(=) Cash Retained (M)29,263.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,080.633,800.392,280.24
Cash Retained (M)29,263.6629,263.6629,263.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,080.63-3,800.39-2,280.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)23,183.0425,463.2726,983.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1.141.141.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share20,348.0122,349.4023,683.66
LTM Dividend per Share1,000.131,000.131,000.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share20,348.0122,349.4023,683.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend21,348.1423,349.5224,683.78
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$250,986.00$315,121.44$389,604.88
Upside / Downside587.63%763.35%967.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)30,403.1330,099.1029,798.1129,500.1329,205.1328,913.0829,780.47
Payout Ratio3.75%21.00%38.25%55.50%72.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,139.476,320.3011,397.4016,372.3221,246.6126,021.7727,546.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5,883.695,943.736,003.77
Year 2 PV (M)9,877.1110,079.7210,284.38
Year 3 PV (M)13,208.3013,616.7814,033.59
Year 4 PV (M)15,956.5316,617.8517,299.52
Year 5 PV (M)18,192.7319,140.0720,126.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)577,379.38607,444.86638,749.97
Equity Value (M)640,497.75672,843.01706,497.69
Shares Outstanding (M)1.141.141.14
Fair Value$562,172.01$590,561.80$620,100.89
Upside / Downside1,440.20%1,517.98%1,598.91%

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