DDM Analysis: 000800.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.49 - $0.65	$0.57
Multi-Stage	$0.57 - $0.62	$0.59
Blended Fair Value	$0.58
Current Price	$7.01
Upside	-91.68%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-6.46%	36.49%	0.14	0.00	0.62	0.47	0.00	0.20	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	-100.00%	30.10%	0.00%	-100.00%	2,876.42%	-25.36%	-37.68%	330.00%	-47.37%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.75%	0.00%	7.43%	5.48%	0.00%	2.26%	0.08%	0.09%	0.12%	0.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	630.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	247.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)	383.82

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	126.18	78.87	47.32
Cash Retained (M)	383.82	383.82	383.82
(-) Cash Required (M)	-126.18	-78.87	-47.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)	257.64	304.96	336.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4,907.44	4,907.44	4,907.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.05	0.06	0.07
LTM Dividend per Share	0.05	0.05	0.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.05	0.06	0.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.10	0.11	0.12
WACC / Discount Rate	17.90%	17.90%	17.90%
Growth Rate	-2.41%	-1.41%	-0.41%
Fair Value	$0.49	$0.57	$0.65
Upside / Downside	-92.95%	-91.81%	-90.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	630.92	622.00	613.21	604.54	596.00	587.57	605.20
Payout Ratio	39.16%	49.33%	59.50%	69.67%	79.83%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	247.10	306.84	364.85	421.16	475.80	528.82	559.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	17.90%	17.90%	17.90%
Growth Rate	-2.41%	-1.41%	-0.41%
Year 1 PV (M)	257.63	260.27	262.91
Year 2 PV (M)	257.19	262.49	267.84
Year 3 PV (M)	249.26	257.01	264.91
Year 4 PV (M)	236.44	246.28	256.42
Year 5 PV (M)	220.63	232.17	244.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,567.89	1,649.89	1,735.28
Equity Value (M)	2,789.04	2,908.10	3,031.54
Shares Outstanding (M)	4,907.44	4,907.44	4,907.44
Fair Value	$0.57	$0.59	$0.62
Upside / Downside	-91.89%	-91.55%	-91.19%

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FAW Jiefang Group Co., Ltd (000800.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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