Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PT Wintermar Offshore Marine Tbk (WINS.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.02 - $0.03$0.03
Multi-Stage$0.04 - $0.04$0.04
Blended Fair Value$0.03
Current Price$0.02
Upside47.12%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-5.03%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-65.28%9.00%-99.76%
Dividend Yield--2.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.01%0.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15.84
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.171.981.19
Cash Retained (M)13.6313.6313.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.17-1.98-1.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.4611.6512.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,364.594,364.594,364.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.000.000.00
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.02$0.03$0.03
Upside / Downside6.86%28.80%51.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15.8415.6915.5315.3715.2215.0715.52
Payout Ratio13.95%29.16%44.37%59.58%74.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.214.576.899.1611.3813.5614.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4.124.164.20
Year 2 PV (M)5.585.695.81
Year 3 PV (M)6.686.887.09
Year 4 PV (M)7.477.778.09
Year 5 PV (M)8.008.428.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)121.04127.34133.91
Equity Value (M)152.88160.27167.96
Shares Outstanding (M)4,364.594,364.594,364.59
Fair Value$0.04$0.04$0.04
Upside / Downside57.81%65.44%73.37%

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